South Central Kentucky
Mainly clear across South Central Kentucky this morning with a few clouds further east and near the Lake Cumberland region. Temperatures will start in the upper 50s to low 60s and rise to near 72° by 10am and around 76° by noon under a mostly sunny sky.
A SUNNY START:
Today will bring partly to mostly sunny skies with daytime highs in the upper 70s before temperatures return to the low 80s for Tuesday. The mid 80s will be reached midweek before rain cools the area back down into the upper 70s for the week’s end.
A STORMY END:
Scattered showers are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening before more widespread rain and thunderstorms arrive Thursday into Friday. Both days will be mostly cloudy. At this time, the rain will be a bit more scattered for the upcoming weekend, but cloud cover will linger.
Mostly Sunny and Pleasant…High 78, winds N-6
A Few Clouds and Mild…Low 57, winds near Calm
Mainly Sunny, A Little Warmer…High 82, winds E-5
SLIGHT RISK of severe storms is possible today mainly west of I-65. The main threats are damaging winds and large hail. An isolated tornado is also possible.
A line of rain and thunderstorms will move east into South Central Kentucky for the morning commute. A few of the storms may contain heavy downpours, strong winds, lightning and hail. Temperatures will rise from the 70s into the low 80s by 10am and mid to upper 80s around noon.
WARM, THEN RAINY:
Expect more very warm and humid weather today with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. A few of the storms may contain heavy rainfall, lightning and gusty winds. Tonight, a cold front approaching from the Plains will bring in more widespread showers and thunderstorms. A few storms could reach severe limits over western portions of the WBKO viewing area overnight into early Wednesday. That’s where a SLIGHT RISK for severe weather exists for the potential that a few storms may contain damaging winds and large hail. Shower and storm chances remain high into Wednesday. Afternoon readings come down from the upper 80s to near 80 Wednesday.
COOLER AND MORE COMFORTABLE:
A few scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible Thursday before drier and cooler air takes over by late week. Highs drop into the 70s, staying there as Memorial Day weekend begins. Overnight lows will drop into the cool, comfortable 50s. Late in the weekend, a weak cold front easing into the region may touch off a few widely scattered thunderstorms Sunday into Memorial Day (Monday).
Periods of Showers and Thunderstorms…High 88, winds SW-14
Precip Ch. 40% – Rain Amount 0.25″
Thunderstorms Likely…Low 67, winds S-8
Precip Ch. 70% – Rain Amount 0.40″
Showers and Thunderstorms Likely…High 80, winds SW-14
Precip Ch. 70% – Rain Amount 0.25″
Mainly cloudy this morning with scattered light rain showers or sprinkles moving in from northern Tennessee. Temperatures will rise from the low 40s to near 45° by 10am and near 50° by noon.
RAIN, THEN WARM:
A storm system to our south will send scattered rain showers to South Central Kentucky while areas to the north should remain dry. Any rain we see will be light at first with steadier showers around midday. Warmer air moving in over a cool, wet ground tonight may lead to areas of patchy dense fog early Friday morning. Otherwise, we’ll see a return to sunshine Friday and the start of a prolonged warming trend.
WARM WEEKEND AHEAD:
The first weekend of April could be our warmest weekend of the year! Daytime readings are expected to reach the mid 60s Friday and into the low 70s Saturday and Sunday. Even mid to upper 70s are possible Monday into Tuesday. There will be small chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday.
Light Rain Likely…High 54, winds NE-4
Precip Ch. 60% – Rain Amount 0.20″
Rain Ending, Patchy Dense Fog…Low 40, winds Calm
Precip Ch. 40% – Rain Amount 0.10″
Mostly Sunny and Warmer…High 65, winds N-8
It is hard to believe it’s been five years.
One of the deadliest severe weather days in our recent history occurred on the night of February 5th and the morning of February 6th of 2008. It was Election Day.
57 people from Arkansas, Tennessee and Alabama were killed. Seven of those who died were from Allen and Muhlenberg counties here in South Central Kentucky.
It was the second largest February tornado outbreak since 1950 in terms of fatalities. Much like the severe weather that struck the region last week, these severe weather events act as a stark reminder that just because the calendar says it’s winter, tornadoes can happen anytime the atmospheric conditions are right.
Here are links to photos and data gathered by the National Weather Service from the Super Tuesday outbreak…
Mainly cloudy this morning with temperatures in the mild 40s.
After the last in a series of “clipper” systems brought some light rain to Southern Kentucky last night, skies will become partly sunny allowing for a little more sunshine today. Expect highs to top out around 50° this afternoon.
A MILD WEEK:
Temperatures will run a little above seasonal averages through the week with mainly quiet weather aside from a small shower chance late Thursday. Afternoon highs will be mainly in the low to mid 50s, with overnight lows in the 30s to near 40°.
The weekend starts off with fair and mild conditions Saturday before clouds and rain chances move in for Sunday. Highs will climb into the upper 50s late in the weekend with lower 60s for Monday. We’ll also have milder overnight lows through the period.
Becoming Partly Sunny & Mild…High 51, winds SW-7
Partly Cloudy…Low 36, winds Calm
Mostly Sunny & Mild…High 52, winds E-4
Skies will begin to clear this morning after a few remaining flurries fly by. Temperatures will be in the upper teens and low 20s but brisk northwest winds will make it feel like it’s in the single digits. Watch for slick spots on untreated roads.
A COLD START TO THE WEEKEND
Sunshine returns today after a fast moving “clipper” system brought minor accumulations of snow across South Central Kentucky. A dusting to a half-inch of snow fell across the Bowling Green area while higher amounts of up to an inch fell further north and east. Despite the sunshine, a brisk north wind will keep highs only in the upper 20s. Another “clipper” system will move in tonight with yet another opportunity for snow showers which may be mixed with rain as we head into Saturday. Sunday looks warmer with sunshine and highs in the mid 40s.
Our weather looks relatively quiet and seasonable through early next week before our next decent chance of rain Thursday. Highs will reach the 40s Monday through Wednesday before inching up into the 50s Thursday.
Mainly Sunny but Very Cold…High 28, W-7
Chance of Snow Showers…Low 21, winds S-5
Precip Chance 20% Snow Amount: Around a dusting
Chance of Snow changing to Rain…High 37, Low 28, SW-7
Precip Chance 50% Snow Amount: Around a dusting
Mostly Sunny…High 43, Low 28, W-8
Needless to say, it’s been a wild morning across South Central Kentucky with numerous reports of downed trees and power lines. I’m just now finding some time to update the blog but the podcast had to be scrubbed today due to the nasty weather.
While there have been no confirmed tornadoes, there are several areas of significant damage that give the appearance a few may have touched down. The NWS will begin their survey of those areas this afternoon and will make that determination.
By the way, we set a record high for today of 72° at 2:40am breaking the old record of 71° set in 1917.
Now comes the colder air and even the possibility of some snow showers for Thursday night. We’ve gone from ice on Friday to severe storms and tornadoes today to cold and (maybe) snowy by Thursday evening. Gotta love Kentucky weather!
All severe weather has moved well east of the WBKO viewing area but any leftover rain – mainly east of I-65 – will taper off by early afternoon. Some breaks of limited sunshine may appear west of I-65 as we go into the afternoon. A few scattered showers will move back in later today as colder air rushes in.
SEVERE WEATHER SHIFTS EAST
After numerous reports of downed trees and power lines overnight, the brunt of severe storms and possible tornadoes has pushed into portions of Central and Eastern Kentucky. However, as much colder air sweeps in later today, scattered showers will return and temps will begin a tumble down through the 40s and 30s, down into the 20s tonight.
MUCH COLDER LATE WEEK
Old Man Winter is back by Thursday, with much colder temperatures to close out the work week. A weak Clipper system could bring us a little light snow Thursday night, but amounts should be very minor. Highs will struggle to reach 40 Thursday, with only lower 30s for afternoon readings Friday.
WARMING UP A BIT
Readings moderate over the weekend thanks to a warmer southwesterly flow. There’s a slight chance for a shower Saturday with Sunday looking dry. Another chance for showers shows up Monday, with highs back into the 50s before another cool down Tuesday.
Mostly Cloudy, Chance of Showers…Falling Temps, winds NW 18-32
Precip Chance 50% Rain Amount 0.10″
Cloudy, Chance of Showers, Colder…Low 28, winds W-18
Precip Chance 30% Rain Amount 0.05″
Cloudy with Afternoon Snow Showers…High 39, winds NW-16
Precip Chance 50% A dusting of snow or less expected
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for a mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow through 1pm this afternoon for the entire WBKO viewing area.
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Scattered rain, freezing rain and sleet is falling across much of South Central Kentucky. With surface temperatures at or below freezing, any precipitation is likely to freeze on contact causing hazardous driving conditions – especially on bridges, overpasses, ramps and untreated roads. Drive with caution this morning!
Warmer air and moisture moving over colder air near the ground will create some problematic weather conditions for this morning’s commute. To the north, precipitation is likely to be a mix of light snow/light sleet, but for Bowling Green and most areas along the KY/TN line, a mix of freezing rain and sleet is most likely. Since temperatures are expected to run in the upper 20s to near 30°, slick travel is a good bet this morning. Untreated roadways along with bridges and overpasses will be the most hazardous for travel. Allow yourself some extra time to reach your destination. By late morning into early afternoon, road conditions should improve as the wintry mix ends and readings climb above the freezing mark. Highs should reach the mid to upper 30s this afternoon.
THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND
The weekend begins dry and cold before a warmer but wetter pattern takes shape for Sunday into midweek. Periodic chances for showers are in the forecast through that period, with highs climbing from the chilly 30s Saturday into the balmy lower 60s by Tuesday. A sharp cold front moving through Tuesday night may spark off a round of heavy showers and thunderstorms, with colder air to follow late Wednesday into Thursday.
Wintry Mix, Ending Around Midday…High 36, SW-9
Precip Ch. 70% – Around 0.10-.0.20″ Freezing Rain/Sleet/Snow
Becoming Partly Cloudy…Low 22, winds Calm
Mostly Sunny, Continued Chilly…High 33, Low 21, winds N-9
Mostly Cloudy, but Warmer…High 42, Low 36, winds S-9
Cloudy with occasional rain showers this morning.
A WET CHRISTMAS EVE:
Today will bring a few showers early in the day but the afternoon will be mostly cloudy, mild and dry. Temperatures will climb once again into the low to mid 50s. Tonight, Santa will have no trouble getting into South Central Kentucky as there will be a mostly cloudy sky and temperatures falling into the mid 30s.
Christmas Day will begin dry but by afternoon, more scattered rain showers will be possible. A deep low pressure system will move through the Dixie states bringing an outbreak of severe storms and possible tornadoes while Wintry weather will begin over parts of Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas. Back in our region, temperatures look to be too warm for any snow but we will see heavy rainfall into Tuesday night as readings hold in the mid 40s.
As that deep low moves through Kentucky, we will be on the warmer side of the storm which means we will see mostly rain to start the day after Christmas. It appears that areas north and west of the Ohio River stand the best chance of receiving heavier snow while lighter amounts may occur around the Bowling Green area. The track of this system could also impact holiday travel plans over a rather large area – especially if you’re traveling to Detroit to see WKU play in the Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl. Stay connected to WBKO, WBKO.com and @WBKO_Weather on twitter and facebook for the latest.
CHRISTMAS EVE DAY:
AM Showers, then Partial Clearing… High 53, winds NW-5
Precip Ch. 30% – Rain Amount 0.15″
Mainly Cloudy and Cooler…Low 33, winds Calm
Cloudy & Breezy, Ch. of Afternoon Showers…High 44, winds NE-12
Precip Ch. 30% – Rain Amount 0.10″
GEMINID METEOR SHOWERS
The only showers in the forecast the next couple of days will be meteor showers thanks to the Geminids which should be quite visible here in South Central Kentucky and much of the southeast the next couple of early mornings. The peak time to watch is after midnight tonight and around 1-2am early Friday morning. Happy watching!
Clear skies this morning with temperatures in the 20s.
BACK ABOVE AVERAGE:
After two straight days with highs in the 40s, we should see readings climb back above the 50° mark (above average) today. More gorgeous sunshine is expected and the same goes for Friday. Highs Friday should climb into the mid and even upper 50s with more of a southwesterly wind. Overnight will moderate into the upper 30s by Friday night.
WEEKEND MILD BUT WET:
Our warming trend looks to continue into Saturday, but blue skies and sunshine will not. Numerous showers are likely Saturday as our next frontal system moves through. Highs climb to near 60° Saturday before dropping back into the mid 50s Sunday. Rain should pull out of the area Sunday morning which may allow for a little sun to close out the weekend.
UNSETTLED EARLY NEXT WEEK:
A couple of more disturbances could affect South-Central KY with rain chances Monday into Tuesday. Temperatures drop from the 50s into the 40s for highs late in the period, with overnight lows dropping from the 40s into the 30s.
Sunny and Warmer…High 52, winds SE-5
Clear and Cold…Low 27, winds Calm
Mostly Sunny and Warmer…High 58, winds SW-7
From all indication, we should see a sunny and rather warm Thanksgiving Day here in South Central Kentucky and for much of the Commonwealth.
Average high temperatures are running near 58° this week with forecast highs 5-8° degrees above average. Overnight lows will be slightly above average (37°) in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
As you can see from the historical graph posted by the National Weather Service in Louisville, we’ve had some eventful Thanksgiving holidays in the past – some have trended wet and warm while others were cold and snowy.
The warmest Thanksgiving on record for Bowling Green was in 1896 when we hit 75° for a high temperature. We went “cold turkey” in 1912 and again in 1950 when it was a chilling 15°…and that was with 2.1 inches of snow on the ground!
We could use some rain but there’s very little in the forecast this Thanksgiving week. As of today, we’re nearly eight inches below average year-to-date precipitation.