Monday’s Severe Weather Potential

WBKO's Storm Condition Index is a 2 out of 10 today.

It’s been a while but we could see strong to severe storms in portions of the WBKO viewing area late this afternoon and into this evening.

A slow moving cold front is parked to our west while a surge of Gulf moisture and strong, shearing winds are providing the necessary ingredients for rain and thunderstorms…some of which could become rotating storms with the potential for damaging winds.

For that reason, we’re going to issue a StormCon Index of 2 for late this afternoon and evening across much of South Central Kentucky.  This means there is a 2-in-10 chance that any thunderstorm that develops could produce damaging winds and possibly even a weak tornado.

Storm Prediction Center Tornado Probabilities

While the tornado threat is lowest here in Southern Kentucky, there is a 10% chance of tornadoes mainly along and north of the Ohio River into Southern Indiana and Southwest Ohio.

As you can see from the SPC graphic above, the areas from near Dayton, OH southwest into Indianapolis to near Evansville are in that 10% probability zone.

While all the ingredients necessary for severe storms are available, it’s all a matter of timing and if any surface instability can come into play during the afternoon and evening hours.  If we see a lot of sun breaking through the clouds today, our severe weather probabilities will be elevated a little higher.  However, if we can keep the sky mostly cloudy with very little sunshine, our severe weather threat will be lower.

Stay connected to WBKO and on your PC and smartphone with text alerts, interactive radar and further updates on this potential severe weather situation.



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